“Will Trump Defeat Harris? What Election Betting Markets Say About Us Presidential Poll

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A site manage by Miller that will estimates the results of the Electoral School based on PredictIt contract prices presently forecasts a landslide victory for Trump.
Recent significant bets supporting Donald Trump, including a single by a pseudonymous Polymarket user, possess drawn attention.

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There’s a number of problems for me personally, one of them being it wouldn’t let me cash out, granted it seemed to be near end involving normal ft although I believed hey 2. 50 is much better than nothing.
Betting markets moved more toward predicting a new Trump win along with money flowing straight into bets supporting one more Trump presidency.
Though polling data point out a far a lot more even split involving Trump and Harris less than three weeks before Political election Day.
Election Betting Odds, a market results aggregator, shows Trump’s lead increased around time.

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“Political betting sites usually are the best with predicting the perception from the crowd, ” Thomas Miller, the professor of info science at Northwestern University, told Good fortune. A site work by Miller that estimates the results involving the Electoral University based on PredictIt contract prices at present forecasts a landslide victory for Overcome. PredictIt, a well-known betting platform, features seen a current move in sentiment, along with traders now assistance Trump over Harris by a margin of 54% in order to 49%. This scars the first period since late Come july 1st that Harris’ help on the program has fallen below 50%.

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Though polling data point out a far a lot more even split between Trump and Harris less than 3 weeks before Political election Day. Recent large bets supporting Jesse Trump, including one particular by a pseudonymous Polymarket user, possess drawn attention. Elon Musk’s October 7 posts highlighting Trump’s lead in prediction markets may include encouraged other Overcome supporters to join in.